金吾财讯 | 开源证券研究指，近5年（2021.6-2026.6）中国保险股经历“底部震荡-趋势修复-高位回调”三阶段：负债改革阵痛叠加利率下行期超额收益底部震荡；“924”政策组合拳与资负共振驱动超额大幅上行，10年期国债跌破2%但板块不降反升，本质是报行合一、预定利率动态调整机制使新业务负债成本下行，利差损预期缓解；2026年上半年获利回吐但资负改善趋势未逆转。与海外相比，中国政策因子权重更高、权益Beta更大、监管对利差损风险的前置干预更为有效。参照海外经验，利差预期改善与盈利兑现共振阶段保险股估值弹性可观。
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.