QCP Group:美联储加息概率降至 22%,BTC 需站上 87,200 美元确认涨势

链捕手
Oct 05

ChainCatcher 消息,据 QCP Group 市场报告,宏观叙事在三周内完成逆转,“10 月再次加息”共识已被彻底定价出局,美联储暂停预期升温。9 月美国非农就业仅增 2.9 万,远低于预期的 8.4 万,失业率升至 4.2%,工资增速降至 3%(2021 年 5 月以来最低),软就业数据支撑 10 月暂停加息判断,当前加息概率已降至约 22%。

比特币现报 $86,700,技术支撑位于 $85,000/$83,000,阻力位于 $87,200/$90,000;以太坊现报 $2,725,支撑位于 $2,650/$2,550,阻力位于 $2,735–$2,800。本周核心事件为北京时间 10 月 8 日凌晨 2:00 发布的 FOMC 会议纪要,市场将重点解读鹰派异议是否动摇,以及 10 月 14 日 CPI 数据前的定价方向。

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