永丰金证券:料港股第四季维持区间震荡 企业盈利表现更受资金关注

智通财经
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智通财经APP获悉,环球债息上升,投资者甚至忧虑会再次出现欧债危机。永丰金证券(亚洲)金融商品交易部及研究部主管麦嘉嘉认为,债息上升固然影响企业估值,但现时企业增长预测及资本回报率等指标仍然理想,不一定令全球股市步入调整甚至熊市。

美汇指数升至102水平,她认为升势并非反映市场正在避险,而在强美元情况下,预期投资者选股会更挑剔,容错率也下降,再上升动力亦会减弱,即使一个小消息也会令市场波动。

现时股市升势偏窄,主要集中在某几只大型科技股,资金仍在追逐AI板块。而市场现阶段最关注,就是企业每增加1元AI收入,需要投入多少资金去作折旧等成本。

因此,她估计资金选股策略会偏好AI变现者(AI Earners)多于AI投入者(AI Spenders)。

港股方面,她认为,中东局势和油价走势均会影响恒指表现,料大市第四季在23000至25500点维持区间震荡。选股策略宜以自由现金流较高,且能派发高息的股份为首选,她坦言港股不能再单靠估值便宜作卖点,因资金将更看重企业盈利表现和资产负债表。

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