QCP Group:BTC 守稳 80,000 美元支撑、87,000 美元压力待破

链捕手
2 hours ago

ChainCatcher 消息,据 QCP Group 市场报告,BTC 在经历去年 10 月最大单日清算事件一周年后表现相对稳健,尽管市场对美国政府转移大量 BTC 及 Ledger 遭黑客攻击的消息有所担忧,价格仍维持区间震荡。BTC 多次冲击 87,000 美元未果,但下方 80,000 美元支撑较为稳固。

期权市场方面,隐含波动率维持高位,看跌期权溢价收窄,市场整体偏向等待突破而非防御性布局;若 BTC 有效突破 87,000 美元,下一目标位或指向 94,000 美元。值得关注的是,市场存在一笔较大规模的 10 月 30 日到期 90,000/95,000/100,000 美元看涨蝶式期权多头头寸,为当前月末最大持仓集中点。

本周宏观面将迎来关键考验,美国 CPI、PPI 数据相继公布,美联储主席 Warsh 将在 IMF-世界银行年会发表讲话,市场目前对 10 月加息的概率定价约为 17%,上述数据及政策信号或成为 BTC 方向选择的重要触发点。

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