分析师:BTC 长期持有者换手增加,阶段性抛压释放或为后续上涨减轻阻力

链捕手
10 hours ago

ChainCatcher 消息,链上分析师 Murphy 在 X 平台发文表示,比特币长期持有者(LTH)累计向交易所转入约 3.2 万枚 BTC,为今年 2 月 5 日大跌以来第二大单日转入规模。不过,同期美国政府相关钱包向 Coinbase Prime 转入约 1.72 万枚 BTC,考虑到该平台承担美国法警署的官方托管及交易服务职能,相关转账不一定意味着卖出。

剔除这部分后,值得关注的潜在抛压约为 1.48 万枚 BTC,主要来自币龄 6 至 12 个月及 3 至 5 年的长期筹码。Murphy 指出,被花费的长期持有者筹码平均币龄达到 712 天,高于 7 月 14 日的 651 天,表明更早期的持仓正在逐步参与换手。他认为,牛熊过渡阶段的长期持有者派发并不一定是利空,阶段性抛压释放有助于筹码重新分配,关键在于市场需求能否有效承接。若新增资金能够消化供给,充分换手反而可能为后续行情减轻阻力。

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