小摩:下调内地风电板块装机预测 对海上风电及出口相关机遇仍持正面看法

智通财经
Oct 14

智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,内地风电板块大幅回调,因盈利疲弱及陆上需求增长放缓,该行下调陆上装机预测,并预期至2030财年的增长将更轻微,但对海上风电及出口相关机遇仍持正面看法,受惠于更强政策支持、项目管道复苏,以及中国供应商全球竞争力上升。

该行现料2030年陆上风电装机量将稳定维持每年约90吉瓦。海上风电方面,随着项目执行改善及开发管道转化为装机,预期装机量由2026财年约7吉瓦及2027财年9吉瓦,逐步复苏至2028至2030财年每年约11至13吉瓦。

股份方面,在海上风电领域中,该行偏好东方电缆A股(603606.SH),受惠于海上需求前景改善,以及高行业进入门槛。出口主题方面,该行看好金风科技H股(02208)及大金重工H股(01081),预期两者将继续提升海外市场份额,受中国风电供应链竞争力增强支持。该行同时上调明阳智能(601615.SH)及大唐新能源(01798)评级至“中性”和“增持”,大唐新能源目标价由1.25港元升至1.4港元,明阳智能由10元人民币升至13元人民币。

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