美银调查:更多投资者看好欧洲股市跑赢美股

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【美银调查:更多投资者看好欧洲股市跑赢美股】美国银行一项区域调查显示,约 38% 的基金经理预计未来一年欧洲股市将小幅跑赢美股,该比例较上月 18% 明显上升。由 Paulina Strzelinska 牵头的研究团队表示,净 44% 受访者预计欧洲股市未来 1 至 3 个月上涨,但 12 个月预期上行空间降至 4.5%,为 2025 年 1 月以来最低。欧洲仍是全球最不受青睐区域,净 23% 受访者计划在未来一年低配欧洲大陆股票。净 3% 受访者预期通胀走高;净 44% 受访者认为 12 个月内欧洲央行存款利率将上调。约 56% 受访者认为盈利上调是股市继续上涨的主要驱动因素,但 50% 受访者预计盈利上调将集中于少数板块。净 41% 受访者预计周期股将跑赢大盘,该比例为 2 月以来最高,不过投资者仅超配其中 7 个周期板块。科技板块是超配幅度最大板块,净超配比例 28%;零售板块低配幅度最高,净低配比例 47%。净 56% 受访者表示未来 12 个月将低配法国股市,该比例创历史新高。约 63% 受访者将法国财政可持续性与 2027 年大选视作欧洲股市最大政治风险。

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