Market Talk Roundup: LVMH Delivers Soft Results as Market Backdrop Remains Tough

Dow Jones
Oct 13

LVMH, the Paris-based conglomerate that is considered a bellwether for the luxury sector, reported a weak set of numbers for the third quarter, reflecting a difficult environment for the wider industry. Investors were hoping for a recovery this year after a prolonged slowdown in demand for high-end goods, especially in China.

 

LVMH Should Consider Its Pricing

 

1652 GMT - LVMH would do well to make some of its luxury products more affordable, analysts at Bernstein write in a note. The French luxury-goods giant booked a slowdown in sales growth for the third quarter, led by a fall in sales at the core fashion division. The group should act on its price-mix in order to make its core products more affordable to the "broader consumer audience" targeted by brands like Louis Vuitton, Bernstein says. (joshua.kirby@wsj.com; @joshualeokirby)

 

LVMH Needs Good Execution to Boost Sales

 

0907 GMT - LVMH must execute well a plan to revive lackluster sales, Bernstein analysts say. The French luxury behemoth posted feeble top-line growth over the third quarter, dragged by a 5% slip in sales at the key fashion division, which makes up nearly half of group revenue. Group leadership seems well aware of the self-help measures needed in the face of a chilly macro backdrop, Bernstein's analysts tell investors in a note. "Management must now execute," the brokerage says, pointing to potential measures on pricing that could stoke demand for the Louis Vuitton brand. LVMH shares lose 1.4% following the update, trading at around 379 euros in morning trading in Paris. ((joshua.kirby@wsj.com; @joshualeokirby))

 

LVMH's Print Bodes Poorly For Most Luxury Companies

 

0958 GMT - LVMH's results reflect a challenging market backdrop for most luxury companies, Deutsche Bank's Adam Cochrane says in a note. The French luxury-goods giant missed already modest expectations at its core fashion and leather goods business, pointing to soft demand from Chinese consumers, he says. While the problem seems to be cyclical rather than structural, "it is hard to see what could change investor sentiment in the short term," the analyst adds. The read-across from the print is negative for most names, but especially for Kering, Hermes and Burberry, with Richemont likely to be less impacted, the bank says. Shares in LVMH are down 2.1%. (andrea.figueras@wsj.com)

 

LVMH's Weak Print Was Expected

 

1011 GMT - LVMH reported underwhelming figures for the third quarter, analysts at BofA Global Research write in a note. The owner of luxury brands such as Louis Vuitton and Dior said organic revenue for the period rose 1% on year to 18.50 billion euros. This was in line with consensus and BofA expectations. "Therefore, the underlying result whilst still weak, was not worse than feared," the analysts say. BofA expects the French company to report a 2% organic increase in revenue for 2026 as a whole. The stock trades 1.8% lower. (andrea.figueras@wsj.com)

 

LVMH's Miss at Core Division Could Weigh on Investor Sentiment

 

1018 GMT - LVMH's weak results at its key fashion and leather goods division could weigh on the sector, Citi's Thomas Chauvet says. The French luxury conglomerate reported organic revenue growth of 1% for the third quarter compared with the prior-year period. The core business posted a 5% drop in sales, below consensus estimates. As the first luxury company to report third-quarter results, LVMH's miss at its mainstay division is unlikely to improve investor sentiment toward soft luxury companies, which sell items like bags, apparel and shoes, the analyst writes in a research note. Shares fall 1.6%. (andrea.figueras@wsj.com)

 

LVMH Posts a Widely Anticipated Slowdown

 

1032 GMT - LVMH's results reflect the slowdown already expected by the market, but there are some reassuring messages, analysts at UBS say in a note. The luxury behemoth made sales of 18.50 billion euros for the quarter ended September. That was up 1% from the same period last year but slowing from the 3% increase the company booked over the second quarter. Comments during the earnings call give cause for optimism, with management highlighting improving trends at the end of the quarter, as well as urgency around self-help measures to revamp brands, the analysts say. Shares are down 1.5%. (andrea.figueras@wsj.com)

 

LVMH's Results Mirror Subdued Chinese Demand

 

1044 GMT - LVMH's results show that demand in China remains under pressure, Equita SIM analyst Paola Carboni says. The French luxury group said that third-quarter sales fell 5% on year at its main fashion and leather goods segment, as a slowdown in Chinese demand weighed on the division's performance. "Newsflow has not been particularly good in China this summer," LVMH's CFO Cecile Cabanis said in an earnings call. To be more constructive on the stock, the analyst awaits signs of improvement in business momentum. The market environment remains uncertain, especially regarding Chinese demand, Carboni writes in a note. Shares drop 1.5%. (andrea.figueras@wsj.com)

 

LVMH's Recovery Requires More Patience

 

1101 GMT - LVMH's weak results suggest greater caution is needed when determining the timing of a rebound following a prolonged slowdown in demand for luxury goods, AlphaValue's Jie Zhang writes in a research note. The luxury-sector bellwether booked a 5% organic decline in revenue at its key fashion and leather goods business, which remains the main disappointment, the analyst says. The company attributed the deterioration mainly to softer Chinese demand amid economic pressures. "Given the division's central role in group profitability, the sales performance offers limited reassurance for earnings," she says. "Our expectations for the pace of recovery proved too optimistic," Zhang adds. The stock trades 1.5% lower. (andrea.figueras@wsj.com)

 

LVMH Needs Better Market Conditions to Accelerate Recovery

 

1132 GMT - LVMH's rebound requires a more favorable market environment, analysts at RBC Capital Markets Piral Dadhania and Richard Chamberlain say. The Paris-based group reported an increase in third-quarter group revenue of 1% in organic terms, but sales at its key fashion and leather goods business declined 5%. The company's initiatives to reignite momentum at some of its brands including Dior, Celine, Tiffany and parts of the Louis Vuitton offer, seem encouraging, the analysts write in a note. However, a better economic and demand environment is likely necessary before LVMH can turn a corner, they add. The recovery also calls for a return to positive growth at the core division, the analysts say. RBC Capital Markets confirms its sector-perform rating on the stock. Shares are down 1.6%.

 

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