瑞银:近期金价反映鹰派重新定价,初步显现更有利的入场时机

格隆汇
4 hours ago
瑞银发表报告指,近期鹰派重新定价的大部分影响现已反映在金价中,初步显现出更为有利的入场时机。经过本轮调整后,黄金在每盎司4140至4200美元附近盘整,月底公布的劳动力市场资料偏弱以及市场对美联储10月加息的预期有所缓和,表明货币政策带来的阻力可能开始减弱。这不足以确认已形成稳固的底部,但支持该行的判断,即风险平衡变得不那么负面。从技术面看,该行认为每盎司3990-4030美元是近期关键支撑区间。若明确跌破每盎司4000美元,意味着调整可能进一步加深;若能持续升破每盎司4280至4320美元,则将代表技术面动量显著改善,并强化近期下跌仍只是上行大势中一次盘整的判断。

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