高盛预计人民币汇率一年内升至6.4 公允价值指标指向6

格隆汇
Oct 14
彭博引述高盛全球外汇、利率和新兴市场策略研究主管Kamakshya Trivedi指出,人民币汇率被低估约20%至25%的预测是保守估计,中国不断扩大的贸易顺差强化了人民币升值的理由。高盛预计人民币兑美元汇率将在一年内从目前的6.69左右升至6.4,该行的公允价值指标亦指向人民币未来有可能走强至6附近。 人民币汇率上一次接近6是在2014年初,当时正值大量热钱涌入。Kamakshya Trivedi指出,若将中国的经常帐户和对外收支状况考虑在内,人民币被低估的程度还会更大。“每次我们调高预测时,我都惊讶于市场共识和远期市场都远远没有跟上。”他补充道,我们的观点很直白——我们认为这将是一个渐进的过程,但会持续下去。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10