申万宏源:天数智芯维持“买入”评级 公司业绩或超预期

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10月20-22日上海黄浦江畔,2026可持续全球领导者大会再度来袭。诺奖、图灵奖得主现场讲述科技未来与趋势,更有“解救”焦虑、内卷时代的网红教授——麦克法兰与项飙现场对话! 名额有限,手慢无。让我们共赴可持续之约!【点击报名】

  申万宏源发布研报称,维持天数智芯(09903)盈利预测,预计2026-2028年实现归母净利润1.03、16.96、32.64亿元,对应629x、38x、20xPE,维持“买入”评级;该行认为,公司GPGPU产品注重TCO与业务场景的计算效率适配,具备竞争优势,预计充分受益于国产算力高景气。

  国内基础大模型迎来新一轮密集迭代,DeepSeek发布V4.1-Flash并开源升腾平台全套基础设施组件,月之暗面预告Kimi K3.1等,国产模型在Agent Engineering、Coding与复杂推理能力方面持续缩小与海外领先模型的差距。模型迭代驱动推理需求持续高增,而国产算力供给持续紧缺。该行认为,算力供不应求背景下,卡位互联网大厂推理算力核心需求,公司订单能见度有望显著提升,未来业绩存在超预期可能。

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