美国 9 月 CPI 今晚公布:通胀预期升温或令美联储重启加息

链捕手
Oct 14

ChainCatcher 消息,美国劳工统计局将于今晚 20:30 公布 9 月 CPI 数据。机构预计整体 CPI 同比涨幅将从 8 月的 3.4% 升至 3.6%,环比上涨 0.6%,创近 5 个月最大涨幅,主要受能源价格反弹推动。核心 CPI 预计同比上涨 2.5%,环比上涨 0.2%,低于前值 0.3%。

此次 CPI 是美联储 10 月 27 日至 28 日议息会议前的最后一份通胀报告。CME 数据显示,市场目前预计美联储 10 月加息概率约为 17%。若核心 CPI 环比涨幅达到 0.3%,可能重新强化本月加息预期;若符合 0.2% 的预期,美联储则可能暂缓行动,将加息决策推迟至 12 月。此外,美国将于周四公布 PPI 数据,CPI 与 PPI 均将影响市场对后续通胀走势及美联储政策路径的判断。

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