金油神策:原油推高利率 黄金承压回落

市场资讯
Oct 23

  现货黄金:

10月23日,黄金明显回落,伦敦金从4140上方跌破4100、4000关口,最低至3986附近,日内跌超2%。油价走强推升通胀与加息预期,美元和美债收益率高位压制金价,多头获利离场叠加程序化止损放大跌幅。4小时空头排列,短线关注4000—4065美元区间,今晚数据或带来脉冲波动,短期维持高波动偏弱震荡。关键位置:阻力4065-4087,支撑3963-3940

  欧美盘操作思路:

  激进4055±5空,稳健4087±5空,目标4000破位持有!

  激进3962±5多,稳健3940±5多,目标4050破位持有!【GOLD分水岭:4050美元/盎司!以上为行情逻辑推演,不构成确定收益承诺,实际交易需结合实盘节奏与止损执行。】

  美原油:

  10月23日原油强势冲高,WTI结算于99.47美元/桶,涨2.39%;布伦特收于113.17美元/桶,涨4%。核心驱动仍是中东地缘风险:胡塞武装袭击沙特设施、沙特阿美疏散达兰总部,风险溢价显著抬升。但供应端存在对冲,中东出口流量恢复至战前约八成,沙特8月出口环比增7.9%,俄柴油船货也将增加。盘面呈现“冲突升级与流量恢复并存”的矛盾格局,短线WTI关注102美元关口阻力与99.0美元支撑,预计维持高位宽幅震荡。关键位置:阻力102.0-104.0,支撑99.0-97.0

  欧美盘操作思路:

  激进者102.5/102.0空,稳健者103.7/104.2空,目标99.0破位持有!

  激进者99.2/99.7多,稳健者97.3/97.8多,目标102.5破位持有!【WTI分水岭:99.0美元/桶!注:以上为行情推演,不构成确定买卖建议。】

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