内银股集体走软 民生银行(01988)跌4.19%、中国银行(03988)跌1.97%

金吾财讯
Oct 22

金吾财讯 | 内银股集体走软,截至发稿,民生银行(01988)跌4.19%,青岛银行(03866)跌3.37%,重庆银行(01963)跌3.27%,渤海银行(09668)跌2.76%,徽商银行(03698)跌2.33%,中银香港(02388)跌2.24%,中国光大银行(06818)跌2.20%,中国银行(03988)跌1.97%,中信银行(00998)跌2.03%,中原银行(01216)跌1.79%。太平洋证券新近发布研报指,2026H1上市银行净息差同比仅-1bp,利息净收入同比+8.35%,是营收提速的主要来源;利润增速偏低主要受拨备和所得税拖累(两项合计拖累约1584亿元),PPOP同比+9.83%。展望下半年,存款重定价对负债成本的贡献预计边际减弱,叠加信贷需求偏弱,营收增速可能有所回落;但拨备覆盖率仍在270%以上、OCI浮盈有所回升,利润端具备一定调节空间,全年业绩增速有望好于2025年(2025年归母净利润同比+1.44%)。对公改善、零售承压的格局延续,整体不良率保持平稳,但逾期率有所抬升,后续不良确认压力仍需关注。板块估值已修复至近10年均值上方,后续行情更依赖盈利兑现,个股分化预计加大;从资金结构看,险资增配、公募减配,银行股的配置属性有望进一步增强,建议优选股息稳定、资本充足、业绩确定性高的个股。

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