ChainCatcher 消息，CryptoQuant 分析师 Darkfost 发文表示，受海湾地区紧张局势持续及乌克兰加大对俄罗斯炼油厂的袭击影响，布伦特原油价格维持在 100 美元/桶上方。油价上涨正向全球经济传导，推高生产、服务及大宗商品成本，令通胀压力进一步渗透经济体系，并可能增加经济放缓风险，进而限制市场流动性，尤其是流入比特币等高风险资产的资金。
Darkfost 指出，从长期走势看，当布伦特原油持续高于年度均值并进入强劲上升趋势时，BTC 往往表现放缓；相反，油价大幅下跌时，BTC 则更容易迎来复苏。不过，他强调，这并不意味着油价与 BTC 之间存在简单的直接因果关系，真正影响风险资产的是高油价所伴随的宏观经济环境。今年 7 月油价曾短暂回落，BTC 随即获得上涨机会，但布伦特原油此后已明显反弹。尽管资金仍可能在不同市场间轮动，推动 BTC 延续涨势，但当前宏观环境并不利于新增流动性持续流入市场。
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