【券商聚焦】中国银河:政策将密集出台,银行负债成本改善获支撑

金吾财讯
Oct 22

金吾财讯 | 中国银河证券研究指,潘功胜行长在2026金融街论坛发表主题演讲,六项政策举措即将出台,货币框架转型中期重点方向明确。六项举措包括设立非银机构大额赎回流动性支持工具、扩大SLF至境内外资法人银行、推动银行间与交易所债市互联互通落地、境外清算行境内外汇自营试点、国际科创中心金融支持指导意见、外资人民币清算行纳入境外央行回购工具。货币框架转型方面,研究择机将公开市场主要操作品种从7天期切换为隔夜,推动贷款定价基准从LPR单锚向"LPR+DR001"多元转型,推动存贷款基准利率彻底退出。该机构认为,部分区域的科技金融服务体系获最明确结构工具加持和倾斜,再贷款、债券市场"科技板"、跨境投融资向三大科创中心先行先试,深耕区域的优质城商行有望进一步获益科技领域相关信贷扩张红利,加速信贷结构调整和经营模式转型。与此同时,非银流动性工具支持显著降低了银行自营盘FVTPL波动以及理财子公司等表外资产挤兑风险向母行传染的风险。风险提示:经济增长不及预期、零售不良暴露导致资产质量恶化的风险;利率下行导致息差承压的风险。

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